Budgets proposals are one of Trillions possible scenarios. There is no intuitive process to determine how much it would cost to reach 75% probability for success. CRIMS, by calculating many possible paths, can determine this probability.
A sales person proposes a circuit to visit four cities. Each trip between cities can be done by a choice of modes, bus, train or air. Depending on the selected mode of transportation, each leg of the route could be a different cost. At some point between the least expensive and most expensive itinerary there may be a break-even point. The sales person might submit a budget cost and the manager would evaluate the return on investment. The following questions remain unanswered. How likely is the itinerary to remain within the prediction? How likely might the trip cost more than the expected sales? Is the risk of going over budget within guidelines?